Akin's rape comment threatens to alter U.S. Sen. race : Stltoday

Akin's rape comment threatens to alter U.S. Sen. race : Stltoday

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 week that the race tilted in Akin's favor because of his consistent polling lead. (Akin led Democrat incumbent McCaskill by 11 points in a recent Survey USA poll.)

On Sunday, Silver changed his mind.
"Have to wait for polls, but on instinct I'd call McCaskill a 2:1 favorite in #MOSEN now," Silver wrote, predicting the polls could swing against Akin by 10 points.
He added: "Calling McCaskill a 2:1 favorite prices in some chance that Akin will drop out. I'd take her side of those odds if he stays in."

McCaskill has trailed in all recent polling. Democrats, guided by the belief that McCaskill had better chances against the more conservative Akin, spent millions in the Missouri Republican primary trying to help Akin defeat his two GOP rivals. Polls after the election showed McCaskill still trailed Akin in a direct matchup.